COVID-19 and healthcare impacts, Economic and Financial Impacts of Cancer, Global Cancer Incidence and Screening

Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived With Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life Years for 29 Cancer Groups From 2010 to 2019

JAMA Oncology · 2021

JJonathan Kocarnik·KKelly Compton·FFrances Dean·WWeijia Fu·BBrian Gaw·JJames Harvey·HHannah Henrikson·DDan Lu·AAlyssa Pennini·RRixing Xu·EEmad Ababneh·MMohsen Abbasi‐Kangevari·HHedayat Abbastabar·SSherief Abd‐Elsalam·AAmir Abdoli·AAidin Abedi·HHassan Abidi·HHassan Abolhassani·IIsaac Akinkunmi Adedeji·QQorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani·SShailesh M Advani·MMuhammad U. Afzal·MMohammad Aghaali·BBright Opoku Ahinkorah·SSajjad Ahmad·TTauseef Ahmad·AAli Ahmadi·SSepideh Ahmadi·TTarik A. Rashid·YYusra Ahmed Salih·GGizachew Taddesse Akalu·AAddis Aklilu·TTayyaba Akram·CChisom Joyqueenet Akunna·HHanadi Al Hamad·FFares Alahdab·ZZiyad Al‐Aly·SSaqib Ali·YYousef Alimohamadi·VVahid Alipour·SSyed Mohamed Aljunid·MMotasem Alkhayyat·AAmir Almasi‐Hashiani·NNihad A. Almasri·SSadeq Ali Al‐Maweri·SSami Almustanyir·NNivaldo Alonso·NNelson Alvis‐Guzmán·HHubert Amu·EEtsay Woldu Anbesu·RRobert Ancuceanu·FFereshteh Ansari·AAlireza Ansari‐Moghaddam·MMaxwell Hubert Antwi·DDavood Anvari·AAnayochukwu Edward Anyasodor·MMuhammad Aqeel·JJalal Arabloo·MMorteza Arab‐Zozani·OOlatunde Aremu·HHany Ariffin·TTimur Aripov·MMuhammad Arshad·AAl Artaman·JJudie Arulappan·ZZatollah Asemi·MMohammad Asghari Jafarabadi·TTahira Ashraf·PPrince Atorkey·AAvinash Aujayeb·MMarcel Ausloos·AAtalel Fentahun Awedew·BBeatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla·TTemesgen Ayenew·MMohammed A. Azab·SSina Azadnajafabad·AAmirhossein Azari Jafari·GGhasem Azarian·AAhmed Y. Azzam·AAshish Badiye·SSaeed Bahadory·AAtif Amin Baig·JJennifer L. Baker·SSenthilkumar Balakrishnan·MMaciej Banach·TTill Bärnighausen·FFrancesco Barone‐Adesi·FFabio Barra·AAmadou Barrow·MMasoud Behzadifar·UUzma Belgaumi·WWoldesellassie Bezabhe·YYihienew Mequanint Bezabih·DDevidas S. Bhagat·AAkshaya Srikanth Bhagavathula·NNikha Bhardwaj·PPankaj Bhardwaj·SSonu Bhaskar·KKrittika Bhattacharyya·VVijayalakshmi S Bhojaraja
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Abstract

IMPORTANCE: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019 (GBD 2019) provided systematic estimates of incidence, morbidity, and mortality to inform local and international efforts toward reducing cancer burden. OBJECTIVE: To estimate cancer burden and trends globally for 204 countries and territories and by Sociodemographic Index (SDI) quintiles from 2010 to 2019. EVIDENCE REVIEW: The GBD 2019 estimation methods were used to describe cancer incidence, mortality, years lived with disability, years of life lost, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in 2019 and over the past decade. Estimates are also provided by quintiles of the SDI, a composite measure of educational attainment, income per capita, and total fertility rate for those younger than 25 years. Estimates include 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). FINDINGS: In 2019, there were an estimated 23.6 million (95% UI, 22.2-24.9 million) new cancer cases (17.2 million when excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) and 10.0 million (95% UI, 9.36-10.6 million) cancer deaths globally, with an estimated 250 million (235-264 million) DALYs due to cancer. Since 2010, these represented a 26.3% (95% UI, 20.3%-32.3%) increase in new cases, a 20.9% (95% UI, 14.2%-27.6%) increase in deaths, and a 16.0% (95% UI, 9.3%-22.8%) increase in DALYs. Among 22 groups of diseases and injuries in the GBD 2019 study, cancer was second only to cardiovascular diseases for the number of deaths, years of life lost, and DALYs globally in 2019. Cancer burden differed across SDI quintiles. The proportion of years lived with disability that contributed to DALYs increased with SDI, ranging from 1.4% (1.1%-1.8%) in the low SDI quintile to 5.7% (4.2%-7.1%) in the high SDI quintile. While the high SDI quintile had the highest number of new cases in 2019, the middle SDI quintile had the highest number of cancer deaths and DALYs. From 2010 to 2019, the largest percentage increase in the numbers of cases and deaths occurred in the low and low-middle SDI quintiles. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The results of this systematic analysis suggest that the global burden of cancer is substantial and growing, with burden differing by SDI. These results provide comprehensive and comparable estimates that can potentially inform efforts toward equitable cancer control around the world.

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